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Showing posts with label SPORTS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SPORTS. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

The HINDU Notes – 28th March

11:54

📰 THE HINDU – CURRENT NOTE 28 March

💡 SC counters push for Aadhaar

•The recently-passed Finance Bill made Aadhaar mandatory for filing tax returns and getting a permanent account number (PAN). The court’s observations came during a mentioning for an early date for hearing pending petitions raising the issue of Aadhaar as a violation of the citizen's privacy. The court, however, did not agree for an out-of-turn hearing.

•In October 2015, the government had assured the Constitution Bench that the requirement for Aadhaar would be purely of a voluntary nature for citizens to access public subsidy. The court had said this would remain so till it took a final decision on whether the Aadhaar scheme was an invasion of privacy.

•The then Chief Justice of India H.L. Dattu, who led the Constitution Bench, had even asked Attorney-General Mukul Rohatgi, for UIDAI, to make a statement in open court that “you will not insist (on Aadhaar) till the matter is finally decided here or a legislation is introduced in the Parliament”.

•“Suppose we decide that Aadhaar is purely voluntary and any attempt to make it mandatory would be treated as contempt of court... are you ready to give an assurance or make a statement here to this effect?” the CJI had asked Mr. Rohatgi. "No person will be denied benefits under any government scheme for want of Aadhaar card,” the A-G had responded.

•The Constitution Bench had extended the voluntary use of Aadhaar card to Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Gurantee Scheme, all types of pensions schemes, employee provident fund and the Prime Minister Jan Dhan Yojana.

•With this, the Supreme Court had modified an August 11, 2015 order issued by its three-judge bench restricting Aadhaar use to only PDS and LPG (cooking gas) distribution.

•The government had argued that the Aadhaar card was not to be seen in the sinister light of State surveillance and censorship.

•Mr. Rohatgi had argued that the Aadhaar was rather a fool-proof method for government to identify the actual beneficiaries of social benefit schemes and not get duped into distributing welfare paid by taxpayers' money on fraudsters.

•Supporting the Centre, Gujarat government had justified Aadhaar as a means for citizens to directly connect with welfare schemes without intermediaries.

💡 Supreme Court for policy to curb farmer suicides

•The Supreme Court on Monday said the Centre should address the “serious issue” of farmers taking their own lives and implement a comprehensive policy to be adopted by the State governments for preventing the tragedy.

•“Farmers committing suicides is a serious issue. You [Centre] should bring the proposed policy dealing with all the real issues which force the farmers to take extreme step. We are with you,” a Bench led by Chief Justice of India J.S. Khehar told the Centre.

•Additional Solicitor General P.S. Narasimha said the government was coming up with a comprehensive policy to address the problems of the farmers.

No need for middlemen

•He said now the government was directly procuring food grains from the farmers at the minimum support price and they did not need to take the help of middlemen or market.

•Mr. Narasimha said the policy would address crop loss or crop failure and a compensation for farmers.

‘More Insurance cover’

•“Insurance cover has been increased for the farmers. Earlier, it was for those who took agriculture loan but now it has been extended to all the farmers,” he said.

•Senior advocate Colin Gonsalves, appearing for NGO Citizens Resource and Action and Initiative, said that over 3,000 farmers had committed suicide in the last few years.

💡 Find alternatives to pellet guns: SC

•Reminds govt. that a ‘welfare state’ is meant to protect all with harm to none

•Reminding the government that it is a ‘welfare state’ meant to protect all without causing harm to none, the Supreme Court on Monday asked the Centre to come up with alternatives to pellet guns used by security forces against agitators and stone-pelting mobs on the streets of Jammu and Kashmir.

•“You are a welfare state. It is your duty to ensure the safety of the people as well as the security forces. Your purpose of being there is not to harm or injure individuals,” a Bench led by Chief Justice of India J.S. Khehar addressed Attorney-General Mukul Rohatgi.

•Mr. Rohatgi responded that security forces are face-to-face with violent mobs, sometimes used as a human shield by militants who open fire at them. The agitators even throw petrol bombs at the forces. In short, Mr. Rohatgi said security personnel battle for their own lives and use these guns, at the minimum, as a means of self-defence, and at the most, to bring law and order back on the streets.

•“We appreciate that... there are lots of pressure. However, what can be adopted should not cause harm to individuals,” Chief Justice Khehar replied.

•The court expressed its concern about how minors, students and innocent by-passers of the Valley become collateral damage, sometimes scarred permanently for life, in the battle for the streets between forces and the mobs. For their sake and that of their parents and loved ones, the court asked the government to consider other alternatives to quell the mobs.

The Bench posted the hearing for April 10.

•In December 2016, the Supreme Court sought a similar assurance from the Jammu and Kashmir government to avoid the “indiscriminate” use of pellet guns on protesters in the restive State.

•The court’s reservations about the use of pellet guns without “proper application of mind” came while hearing a petition filed by the Jammu and Kashmir High Court Bar Association.


‘Many jawans injured’

•The Attorney-General, who was countering the contention of the J&K Bar Association counsel over the death and injuries of protesters besides spectators watching the incidents from their houses, said a total of 1,775 CRPF personnel were injured of whom 79 were grievously injured in the protests held between July 8 and August 11, 2016.

•The High Court had on September 22 rejected the plea for a ban on pellet guns on the ground that the Centre had already constituted a Committee of Experts through its memorandum of July 26, 2016 for exploring alternatives to pellet guns.

•The High Court had also declined to accept the plea to prosecute the officers who ordered pellet guns to be used and those who shot the agitators.

💡 Giving short shrift to children’s rights

•In the last three years, important entitlements for children have been undermined by the Centre

•The recent notification of the Ministry of Human Resource Development, making Aadhaar compulsory for midday meals in government schools, has attracted the criticism it deserves. This notification serves no clear purpose other than to force children to get enrolled under Aadhaar. The government, unfortunately, managed to create the impression that the notification had been retracted, when nothing of the sort has happened.

•This is just the latest in a series of attacks on child-related rights during the last three years. A few examples, not exhaustive, are as follows.

No maternity entitlements

•First, the Central government has violated women’s right to maternity entitlements under the National Food Security Act (NFSA), 2013 for more than three years. Under the Act, every pregnant woman is entitled to maternity benefits of Rs. 6,000, unless she is already covered by maternity schemes in the formal sector. The Economic Survey 2015-16, in a welcome chapter on “Mother and child”, made a strong case for maternal and early-life health programmes, including maternity benefits, noting that they “offer very high returns on investment”. Yet, the Union Budget that followed, for 2016-17, did not make any provision for maternity entitlements beyond the pilot scheme (for 53 districts only) initiated by the previous government. This was all the more startling as the Central government had assured the Supreme Court in writing, on October 30, 2015, that this scheme — Indira Gandhi Matritva Sahyog Yojana — would be extended to all districts in 2016-17.

•On December 31, 2016, Prime Minister Narendra Modi proudly announced that pregnant women nationwide would soon be getting maternity benefits of Rs. 6,000. He projected this as a “new scheme” (sic), without any reference to the NFSA, perhaps hoping that the victims of demonetisation would appreciate the gesture. With the Prime Minister finally endorsing maternity entitlements, things started moving after that, but not much: the allocation of Rs. 2,700 crore in the 2017-18 Union Budget is barely enough to cover a fourth of all births, even with the proposed 60:40 ratio for Centre:State funding. Word has it that the Central government may restrict the benefits to one child per woman, against the law. Further, there is still no sign of the said scheme. Quite likely, the government will take its own time to roll it out, and spend even less this year than the measly allocation of Rs. 2,700 crore. So much for maternity entitlements under the NFSA being “a promising opportunity to improve nutrition during pregnancy”, as the Economic Survey 2015-16 aptly put it.

No money, no eggs

•Second, the Central government is giving short shrift to the Integrated Child Development Services (ICDS), a critical programme that was making good progress until it was hit by Budget cuts in 2015-16. The initial Budget cut was about 50%. This was so mind-boggling that the government’s own Minister for Women and Child Development, Maneka Gandhi, criticised the cuts in public, mentioning inter alia that they had made wage payments a “month-to-month suspense”. The cuts were partly reversed later on, but, meanwhile, they had done much damage and sent a disastrous signal down the line. State governments were not amused.

•For instance, in a letter sent to the Central government on July 15, 2016, the Government of Odisha complained that salary payments to anganwadi workers were held up by Budget cuts, while planned schemes for pre-school education and medicine kits “could not be taken up”.

•Third, the midday meal scheme is also being starved. Like ICDS, the midday meal scheme received shock treatment in the 2015-16 Budget, with an initial Budget cut of 36%. The allocation for midday meals in this year’s Budget, Rs. 10,000 crore, is still 25% lower in money terms than the corresponding allocation four years ago (in real terms, the decline would be even larger). The Budget cuts, of course, must be seen in light of the fact that the share of States in the indivisible pool of taxes was raised from 32% to 42% in 2015-16. The question remains why the axe fell so heavily on children — no other schemes were hit so badly in 2015-16, with the possible exception of drinking water and sanitation.

•And then there is the issue of eggs. Many State governments are now providing eggs with midday meals in schools (and sometimes also in anganwadis). This is a real breakthrough, considering the high nutrition value of eggs. Had the Central government taken this forward as a matter of national policy, millions of children would be better nourished today. But here is an interesting pattern: most of the major States where eggs are still off the menu in schools and anganwadis are States with a Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) government, and vice versa. The BJP States, it seems, are not willing to antagonise upper caste vegetarian lobbies. No wonder the Central government is maintaining a studied silence on this matter.

Further blows

•Fourth, plans are afoot to scrap the Janani Suraksha Yojana (JSY), a scheme of conditional cash transfers aimed at promoting institutional deliveries. Recent data clearly show a surge in institutional deliveries in the last 10 years or so (e.g. from 39% in 2005-6 to 79% in 2015-16 according to National Family Health Surveys), and it would be surprising if this had little to do with JSY. Incidentally, the decline of maternal mortality has also accelerated in recent years. Yet the Central government is now planning to phase out JSY. In a presentation made at Vigyan Bhavan on February 22, 2017, the Secretary, Women and Child Development, explained that JSY would be “subsumed” under the maternity benefit scheme from next year, as the latter provides a “higher amount for institutional delivery”. In other words, maternity benefits will be made conditional on institutional delivery, in violation of the NFSA, and further, this linkage will be taken as an excuse to discontinue JSY, even though maternity entitlements and JSY serve distinct purposes.

•Last but not least, Aadhaar is now being made compulsory for all these schemes — midday meals, ICDS (yes), maternity benefits, JSY, you name it. This is being done in the name of curbing corruption, but no credible evidence has been given that identity fraud is a serious problem in these schemes, or that Aadhaar is the best possible solution. Rather, this seems to be part of the blind drive to make Aadhaar ubiquitous and universal, regardless of the possible damage. The imposition of Aadhaar on midday meals and related schemes exposes, once again, the claim that Aadhaar is a voluntary facility. It also shows that the Centre has no respect for Supreme Court orders, and that the Supreme Court, for some reason, does not mind.

•These examples suffice, I hope, to illustrate the Central government’s harsh treatment of children. Somehow, their well-being is not seen as an important part of the “sabka saath, sabka vikas” project. When I asked a senior official of the Finance Ministry, some time ago, why the 2015-16 Budget cuts had fallen so heavily on children, he said that this pattern had not come to his attention. The cuts, he added, were made in a hurry and the details had not been “thought through”. I mention this anecdote because it illustrates how easily children can fall off the policy radar. It is not that anyone is hostile to them, just that they have no voice.

•The silver lining is that there is still some action for children at the State level. For instance, Tamil Nadu, Odisha and Telangana have introduced maternity entitlement schemes with their own resources, without waiting for the Central government. However, the indifference towards children at the Centre may percolate to State governments sooner or later. That would be a tragic loss, not just for Indian children but also for the entire nation.

💡 Powered by a pause

•Delays in the Indo-U.S. nuclear deal bring an opportunity to re-examine the energy basket

•Ever since it was announced in 2005, the Indo-U.S. civil nuclear agreement has faced one obstacle after another. So this week’s news that its operationalisation may be further delayed owing to Westinghouse’s financial difficulties and Japan’s procedural issues in ratifying the deal with India should come as no surprise. This sets back “work toward finalising the contractual arrangements by June 2017” for six reactors to be built in Andhra Pradesh by Toshiba-owned Westinghouse and the Nuclear Power Corporation of India Ltd. (NPCIL). But India has little control over both circumstances, and rather than seeing them as a setback, the government and officials should use this as an opportunity to re-examine the country’s engagement with nuclear energy for future needs. Westinghouse’s near-bankruptcy is part of a larger pattern of worldwide cost overruns and delivery delays across the nuclear energy industry. Nuclear manufacturer Areva (in partnership with Mitsubishi) has a similarly precarious position despite hopes of a bailout by the French government. Even Russian supplier Rosatom’s Kudankulam units 1 and 2, in the only foreign collaboration now operational in India, were built in double the time budgeted, while units 3 and 4 could see delays. The cost of importing reactors, relative to those based on indigenous design, is another concern. Land acquisition issues remain, along with the need for large water reservoirs for the reactors, which will only grow if the government goes ahead with its plans for 55 reactors of 63,000 MW in total by 2032. In addition, given concerns about a possible tsunami scenario along the Andhra coast, where many of these reactors are planned, the Department of Atomic Energy and NPCIL are looking for options farther inland.

•The promise of nuclear power has thus far outweighed all of these concerns, and India has reason to be proud of its technology and determination to look for non-fossil alternatives in its energy planning. However, with rapid progress in technology in other renewable energy sources such as wind and solar power, the collapse of oil prices and the expansion in gas projects as a viable and clean alternative, that promise has dimmed. These could also be more cost-effective for a developing country such as India, as the energy can be made available in smaller units, and then built up, unlike nuclear plants where nothing can be transmitted until the whole plant is complete and attains critical status. Above all, the risk surrounding nuclear safety is yet to be fully mapped, post-Fukushima. A Japanese court ruling holding both the state regulator and the operator responsible for the 2011 triple meltdown has sent sobering signals to the industry. This is the best time for India’s energy planners and government to use the breathing space provided by the delays in the Indo-U.S. civil nuclear deal and take a long, hard look at the cost-benefit analysis on the nuclear power balance sh

💡 Trust the EVMs


•Machine-manipulation charges levelled by some political parties have no real basis

•The legitimacy of the election process is a key component of any democracy. When Bahujan Samaj Party leader Mayawati and Aam Aadmi Party convenor and Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal alleged that the manipulation of electronic voting machines helped the Bharatiya Janata Party in Uttar Pradesh and the Shiromani Akali Dal-BJP combine in Punjab, they were casting doubts about the legitimacy of the results. While the BSP, through its leader’s statements and submissions to the Election Commission, was vague in its complaints, the AAP leader was more specific, suggesting that 20-25% of his party’s votes were “transferred” to the Akali Dal due to the EVMs. Complaints about the security of EVMs have been raised over a decade in courts, and the EC has repeatedly demonstrated how the security of the machines cannot be compromised. Indian EVMs, unlike online voting machines that were discontinued in some western countries, are stand- alone, independent electronic units. They record and lock votes only after being trigger-enabled by presiding officers through a control unit. The EC has sought to assure sceptics that the security of the machine is enabled through both technological and procedural means. The wiring-in of software in a one-time programmable chip disallows external manipulation, time stamping of every key pressed allows for monitoring, production testing is done for quality control, and so on. Checks of EVMs along with representatives of political parties, randomised allocation and sealing make the machines tamper-proof before and after votes are cast.

•The EC has also sought to increase the use of a voter verifiable paper audit trail (VVPAT) that helps in corroborating the results from the machine, and expects its full implementation by the 2019 Lok Sabha election. The data tallied from VVPAT-enabled EVMs in U.P. in around 20 constituencies in the recent Assembly election corroborated the election results. Prima facie , there is nothing to suggest that EVMs have been subject to manipulation. In fact, the use of EVMs has enhanced electoral democracy in tangible ways. Before electronic voting became universal in State and parliamentary elections in 2004, paper ballot-based polling had seen a high incidence of inadvertent invalid voting. A statistical study published in The Hindu last year showed that in about 14% of the 35,937 Assembly seats where elections were held between 1961 and 2003, invalid votes were greater than the margin between the winner and the runner-up. In more than 300 constituencies, invalid votes were as high as the votes polled for an effective candidate. The use of EVMs has cancelled out the effect of invalid votes, making the process robust besides keeping it simple and effective. EVMs are here to stay and there is no need to be distracted by politicians who criticise them to explain away their defeat.

💡 Turning the clock back

•With several bilateral investment treaties lapsing on March 31, FDI inflows could take a hit

•Come April 1, the Narendra Modi government would have taken India back to the pre-1991 inward-looking economic era as far as India’s approach to bilateral investment treaties (BITs) is concerned.

•Till the early 1990s, India didn’t sign BITs because foreign investment was not considered significant in a statist India. The absence of BITs meant foreign investors couldn’t use international arbitration to hold India accountable under international law for any detrimental regulatory overreach. So, when the Foreign Exchange Regulation Act that came into force in 1974 required a foreign company to convert foreign equities into minority holdings of 40%, many helpless foreign companies like Coca-Cola, IBM, Kodak and Mobil either quit India or applied to the government to do so.

•In 1991, India lifted its self-imposed economic exile by starting the process of experimenting with the market and wooing foreign investors. As part of this image makeover, India started signing BITs from the early 1990s. The signing spree continued unabated till 2010 with India inking BITs with 83 countries. However, rattled by many BIT claims brought by foreign investors from 2011 onwards, last year, India unilaterally issued BIT termination notices to 58-member countries. Reportedly, these BITs would lapse on March 31 after the expiry of the mandatory one-year notice period. Although the terminated BITs will continue to be relevant for existing foreign investment in India and Indian investment in these countries for the next 10-15 years due to survival clauses, any new investment, either from these 58 countries to India or vice versa, shall not enjoy BIT protection as was the case before 1991.

BITs and foreign investment

•Some argue that foreign investment inflows to India are not dependent on BITs. Two studies question this wisdom. The first, done by Rashmi Banga, examines the impact of BITs on FDI inflows in 15 Asian developing countries including India from 1980-81 to 1999-2000. The study shows that BITs signed by these 15 countries with developed countries had a stronger and significant impact on FDI inflows in these 15 countries. However, BITs signed by these 15 countries with developing countries didn’t have much impact on foreign investment inflows. Till the year 2000, out of the 14 BITs India signed, nine were with developed countries. Therefore, BITs had a significant impact on FDI inflows in India, which rose from $393 million in 1992-93 to $4,029 million in 2000-01. The second study, a very recent one by Niti Bhasin and Rinku Manocha, considers the impact of BITs on FDI inflows in India from 2001-2012. This study also demonstrates that BITs signed by India contributed to rising FDI inflows in the said period by providing protection and commitment to foreign investors. The significance of BITs in attracting investment was also emphasised by Canada’s Trade Minister during his recent visit to India. The Minister said that absence of an India-Canada BIT is restricting the scope and volume of investments that Canadian pension funds can make in India.

•It is nobody’s case that BITs alone determines FDI inflows, but they do play a critical role in mitigating regulatory risks and thus encouraging investors to invest — critical for India, which has a dubious distinction of not being a friendly place to do business in.

Few takers for the Model BIT

•To be fair to the government, it wants to sign new BITs with all these 58 countries based on the new Model BIT adopted in 2016. However, most developed countries have not shown much interest in the Model BIT because instead of striking a balance between investment protection and state’s right to regulate, it tilts towards the latter. There are fundamental differences between the Indian approach and the Canadian and European approach to protection of foreign investment, as reflected in the investment chapter of the recently signed EU-Canada Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA). First, the EU-Canada CETA contains a ‘most favoured nation’ (MFN) provision — a cornerstone of non-discrimination in international economic relations — which is missing in the Indian Model BIT. Second, the Indian Model BIT, unlike the EU-Canada CETA, mandatorily requires foreign investors to litigate in domestic courts for five years before pursuing a claim under international law. Third, the EU-Canada CETA provides protection to foreign investors in situations where the state goes back on the concrete representations it made to lure an investor, which the investor relied upon while investing. The Indian Model BIT is silent on this, thus exposing foreign investors to regulatory risks. Fourth, the EU-Canada CETA talks of pursuing the establishment of a multilateral investment court to settle investment disputes. Will India support such a proposal?

•Due to these differences, an India-Canada BIT or an investment treaty with EU looks difficult. Will the Modi government reconsider its BITs policy? If not, we are set to return and remain in the pre-1991 era, ironically, under the leadership of someone who was entrusted with the mandate to deepen economic reforms.

💡 ‘Digital platform to help railways save Rs. 60,000 crore’

•Entire operations can be monitored on a single platform

•Indian Railways will invest about Rs. 12,000 crore in developing a common digital platform for integrating information from all its departments leading to savings of about Rs. 60,000 crore, said Suresh Prabhu, Railway Minister.

•“In the last Rail Budget, I had announced an Enterprise Resource Planning system that will be an IT-based platform for system-wide integration and planning,” Mr. Prabhu said during a conference involving leading software companies, to draw the roadmap for the software.

•“We then took the advice of [former] Tata Consultancy Services CEO N. Chandrasekaran [now Tata Sons Chairman] and other eminent personalities in framing the terms of references. Now, we will start working on the common platform,” Mr. Prabhu said.

•The Minister said Rs. 10,000–Rs. 12,000 crore of investments will be required for the enterprise-wide digital platform called IR-One ICT that will lead to benefits worth Rs. 50,000–Rs. 60,000 crore to the Indian Railways in the long run.

•“It might take at least two-three years to complete the first phase. With the common platform, the monitoring of the entire Indian Railways operations can be done on a single platform,” he said

•“Several passenger complaints can be solved. We may also get to know the vacancies in a train and the number of people travelling. Maintenance issues can be handled remotely. There will be asset utilisation, revenue seepage will reduce and ultimately customers will benefit,” the Minister said.

•During the conference, the Minister said passenger complaints were the best pieces of information available to the Railways free-of-cost which can be used as a management tool to take informed decisions.

•‘One ICT’ will cover all the aspects of the Indian Railways, including cost analysis, attendance, accounting, asset management, medical management and land management.

•“Better capacity and asset utilisation would help the railways run more trains, carry more freight, provide better and reliable services to passengers, increase its revenues and make its operations more safe,” according to a statement from the Railway Ministry.


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Monday, March 27, 2017

The HINDU Notes – 27th March

14:52

📰 THE HINDU – CURRENT NOTE 27 March

💡 India-U.S. civil nuclear pact likely to miss June deadline

•Bankruptcy of reactor maker Westinghouse clouds operationalisation of the deal.

•More than two years after India and the U.S. announced that the civil nuclear deal was “done,” its actual operationalisation is in doubt over a number of developments that stretch from a “school scandal” in the Japanese parliament to the Cranberry, Pennsylvania headquarters of Westinghouse Electric, which is expected to file for bankruptcy this week.

Six reactors for A.P.

•According to the agreement over liability issues and the negotiations that followed former U.S. President Barack Obama’s visit to India in January 2015 and Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Washington in June 2016, the two sides had agreed to “work toward finalising the contractual arrangements by June 2017” for six reactors to be built in Andhra Pradesh by Toshiba-owned Westinghouse and the Nuclear Power Corporation of India Ltd (NPCIL).

•When completed, this was to be the first operationalisation of the India-U.S. civil nuclear deal, which was announced in 2008, and proof that both sides had effectively sorted out all their issues, including over the liability that suppliers must accept in the event of an accident.

•However, recent developments have led to uncertainty over the June 2017 timeline. An MEA official told The Hindu, “We are monitoring all developments. We are engaged with all parties. Our intent is to stick to the deadline, for which competitive financing arrangements need to be in place. It must be emphasised that the outlook of global industry on cooperation in India’s civil nuclear programme remains positive.”

•The reason for the concern is that the nuclear arrangement hinged on two major factors — the completion of the India-Japan Nuclear Cooperation Agreement (NCA), as Toshiba and other suppliers for reactor parts are bound by Japanese laws and by the actual contract to be negotiated by the U.S.-based Westinghouse.
•While the NCA was signed in Tokyo in November 2016, it is yet to be ratified by Diet (Japanese Parliament). Japanese officials told The Hindu that the NCA was expected to have been ratified in early March during the current session, but has been derailed by a controversy over accusations that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, his wife and the Defence Minister Tomomi Inada favoured an alleged “sweetheart deal” for a school in Osaka. With lawmakers stopping all other business to discuss the issue, Mr. Abe’s stock in opinion polls and the Nikkei index have registered sharp drops in the past weeks. “Even once the India NCA is tabled, we expect to see some opposition in Parliament, as this is the first such agreement with a country that has not signed the Non-Proliferation Treaty,” said an official.

•He however, noted that Mr. Abe’s party had the necessary strength to have the agreement passed eventually, and added that he was “hopeful” it would be done by the end of the session in June, just ahead of the Westinghouse-NPCIL contract agreement deadline.

•While the suspense over the NCA plays out in the east, in the west the questions are growing over the impact of a possible bankruptcy filing under ‘Chapter 11’ U.S. laws by Westinghouse over massive $6.3 billion losses the company incurred last year, largely due to cost over-runs. The decision is expected to be announced this week by March 31.

•In February, Westinghouse CEO Jose Gutierrez, who visited India, said in an interview to the Nikkei Asian Review, that the “Government of India and the utility [NPCIL] are committed to continue working with Westinghouse on this opportunity [for six reactors in Andhra Pradesh]. We expect that sometime this year — calendar year — we could materialise that opportunity.” However, in the same interview Mr. Gutierrez said that filing for bankruptcy was “not on the table”, which has now become a reality.

•When contacted, the U.S. Embassy declined to comment on how the bankruptcy issues would affect the deal. Nuclear officials said it was “likely” the June 2017 commercial contract with Westinghouse would be “delayed”, given that other financial companies, insurance companies would require clarity on the company’s future before agreeing to sign on the contract.

•“The truth is the picture is very hazy at the moment,” a senior official of NPCIL said, adding that in the absence of land acquisition procedures for the other India-U.S. nuclear venture with GE-Hitachi for six 1594 MW reactors, the future of the India-U.S. nuclear deal is, for the moment, pinned to the future of Westinghouse itself.

💡 India eyes Dhruv’s foreign market

•In talks with Sri Lanka and Southeast Asian nations; emphasis on maintenance

•As part of efforts to enhance defence cooperation and boost exports with friendly countries, India is in discussions with Sri Lanka and several Southeast Asian nations for the supply of Dhruv, the indigenously developed advanced light helicopter (ALH).

•Supplying defence equipment and providing assistance in setting up domestic manufacturing capability have become the new normal in India’s defence cooperation with regional countries.

•“There are queries … There is talk with Vietnam, Myanmar and Sri Lanka for ALH,” T. Suvarna Raju, Chief Managing Director of Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (HAL), told The Hindu .

•Another official said discussions with Indonesia were progressing well. Officials from India were expected to visit Jakarta in April.

•This time, India is putting specific emphasis on maintenance and training in view of its experience of Dhruv sales to Ecuador, which got embroiled in legal issues.

•Amid much fanfare in 2009, India bagged a deal to supply seven of these helicopters to Ecuador worth $45.2 million after defeating several global platforms. However, the euphoria was short-lived as four of them crashed. In October 2015, Ecuador unilaterally terminated the contract and in 2016, put the three helicopters on sale. Following this, HAL had moved a local court there. Of the four crashes, two had been attributed to pilot error and one to mechanical failure.

Availability of spares

•Dhruv, designed and developed by the HAL, is powered by the Shakti engine jointly developed by it and Turbomeca of France. Over 200 helicopters are in service with the Indian military.

•The three Services have constantly complained about lack of spares and support for the fleet. The situation has slightly improved in recent times.

•“We have started mini maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) facilities at forward bases where we man them and stock spares and line replaceable units for use. We do a clean exchange when required,” Mr. Raju said. These attempts to stock the spares and supply them as quickly as possible has brought serviceability to “more than 65% to 70%”, he said.

•To increase the delivery rate, the HAL recently set up a second assembly line in Kanpur, which is expected to produce 12 helicopters a year.

💡 Poor vote-getters blame the tools

•Criticisms of the reliability of the Indian electronic voting machine are unwarranted

•The losers are at it again, blaming the electronic voting machine (EVM) for their electoral defeat. Of course, this is nothing new. Every time a party has a rough time in an election, the easiest way out for its representatives to console themselves is to blame the machine. This is a blame game indulged in periodically, notwithstanding the fact that the Election Commission of India (ECI) has time and again demonstrated, through increased and transparent measures, the reliability and fool-proof nature of the EVM.

How it works

•As usual, with EVMs being blamed after the results of five State elections were declared recently, the ECI issued a detailed press note reiterating that EVMs are standalone machines and are not networked either by wire or by wireless to any other machine or system. Hence, they cannot be influenced or manipulated by signals from mobile phones or any other source. The software in the machine is burnt into a one-time programmable chip or masked chip and can never be altered or tampered with. The source code of the software is not handed over to any outsider. The ECI also cited judgments of different High Courts and the Supreme Court of India that upheld the reliability of EVMs.

•The ECI has prescribed a series of steps in its standard operating procedures to enhance transparency and provide an opportunity for political parties and candidates to participate in testing the reliability of the machines. During the first-level of testing before the machines are allotted to various constituencies from storage points, party representatives are invited. They can select at random 5% of the machines in which up to 1,000 votes will be polled to demonstrate the reliability and fidelity of the machines. A computer programme allocates, at random, machines to constituencies. The second-level of testing is done when, from the constituency headquarters, machines are allocated — again at random, using a computer programme — to polling stations. At this juncture, the candidates — who by now come on the scene — are allowed to test the machines at random. The serial number of the machine sent to each polling station is shared with the candidates, who can pass on this information to their representatives in the respective polling stations.

•Finally, before the start of the polling process on the day of the election, each presiding officer conducts a mock poll to demonstrate the “correctness” the machine in recording votes. When absurd allegations were floated that the machine has been programmed to record votes to the same candidate who gets the first 50 votes, the ECI mandated using 100 votes in the mock poll on polling day.

•Even then such elaborate measures have not curbed post-poll enthusiasm for manufacturing absurd-in-the-extreme excuses in explaining one’s poor electoral performance.

The ‘other countries’ excuse

•An oft-fired standard, but blunt, weapon employed in the losers’ armoury is the reference to names of some countries where electronic voting has been given up. The Netherlands and Germany are cited without either knowing or deliberately concealing the vital fact that in the former it was a networkable PC-type of machine running on OS, while in the latter, their Supreme Court had disallowed electronic voting because their law did not have the enabling provision. Such a situation arose in India too when in 1984, the Supreme Court barred the use of EVMs as the law at that time had provision for use of only ballot paper. That in the U.S. such a networkable DRS (Direct Recording System) machine is still used extensively across the length and breadth of the country, with no significant doubts expressed about its fidelity, is conveniently glossed over. It is worth recalling that the Bush-Gore election spat, in 2000, was over the “misreading” of votes recorded on ballot papers, and not about votes polled in DRS machines! In the post-2009 general election brouhaha here, some experts were brought in to trash EVMs, but in a meeting in Chennai, which this writer attended, the presenter, an academic from the U.S., conceded that standalone, non-networked machines such as Indian EVMs cannot be interfered with and are not vulnerable.

Results and the voter

•But despite the comprehensive and transparent measures put into operation, idle minds have not stopped manufacturing wild stories. One such red herring is that of the Trojan horse or secret programme built into the software that will transfer all votes to a favourite party. Those who make this allegation are either ignorant or deliberately indulging in creating a hype. The fact is that the software, once fused into the EVM chip is unalterable, and the machine cannot be manipulated by sending messages from external sources. Therefore, for this allegation to come true, the software should, ab initio , have been suitably programmed to enable such preferential recording of votes. This is impossible because machines of a different vintage are used in an election.

•For instance, in the five State elections, machines manufactured between 2006 to 2012, were in use, with those of 2007, 2008 and 2009 vintage accounting for over 75% of the machines. Further, the position of a party candidate in the EVM is decided alphabetically going by the name of the candidate in the respective State’s official (vernacular) language, and not by the name of the party. So, the position on the ballot unit of a candidate with a name starting with the letter ‘A’ would be first and his own party’s candidate whose name starts with ‘Z’ would be towards the end, even if his party’s name starts with the letter ‘A’. The machines of 2006 to 2009 vintage would have seen service in at least three elections held between 2006 and 2014, prior to being deployed in 2017. Taking U.P. as the case in point, the Bahujan Samaj Party, in 2007, and the Samajwadi Party (SP), in 2012, did well in the Assembly elections. In 2017, it was the BJP. In the Lok Sabha elections, the Congress and the SP did well in 2009, and the BJP in 2014. This should convince any sceptic that the voters, and not the machines, decide the outcome. Even a super-intelligent programmer cannot visualise in 2007 or 2008 or 2009, at the time of manufacture, of where the machines will be used and what the position of a particular party’s candidate will be in the balloting units of different constituencies and accordingly ‘tweak’ the programme to favour a particular party. Such idle talk should be dismissed with the contempt it deserves.

Paper audit

•The introduction of VVPAT or Voter Verifiable Paper Audit Trail is certainly a step in the right direction, further strengthening transparency. But will full coverage with VVPT, expected by 2019, stop allegations against EVMs as hoped by former Chief Election Commissioners with touching faith? Hardly, if one goes by the answer given by a well-known leader who, when questioned about his outburst now against the EVM as against his silence after his party’s runaway victory two years ago, claimed that his over-confident opponent may not have attempted manipulation of EVMs then! Nobody can underestimate our political class’s ability to come out with the most imaginative of answers when it comes to explaining their failure at the hustings.

•Theoretically, there are three entities which or who can be blamed. First, voters for having rejected them, but then no party would dare blame them for fear of annoying and alienating them forever. One can blame one’s own poor leadership or the incompetence of party functionaries, but that level of candour is unknown. That leaves only one entity, the EVM, to be demonised, VVPAT or no VVPAT. Nobody has so far succeeded in waking up a person who pretends to sleep.

💡 Revisiting India’s nuclear doctrine

•No First Use as a nuclear deterrent should work without additional caveats

•Calls for reassessing India’s nuclear doctrine are a regular feature of our strategic landscape. Depending on where the person asking for this reconsideration sits on the strategic spectrum, the demand for revision rests either on scepticism about India’s commitment to a No First Use posture or the intention to retaliate massively to any nuclear first strike, no matter what the yield of the weapon used first. What seems to receive much less attention, however, is the declaration that India reserves the right to nuclear retaliation “in the event of a major attack against India, or Indian forces anywhere, by biological or chemical weapons”. In doing so, we are clubbing together nuclear first use — which has not occurred since 1945 — and biological and chemical first use which, especially chemical, continues to occur sporadically, whether by state or non-state actors. The further question of degree, as in “major attack”, only further muddies these already murky waters.

Use of chemical weapons

•The dramatic assassination in Malaysia last month of North Korean Kim Jong-nam by the chemical agent VX, which was almost certainly orchestrated by elements within the North Korean state, adds another layer to questions about making sponsors of chemical attacks accountable. The ease with which deadly chemicals can be transported across state borders, as demonstrated by the assault, gives further pause. This is not to try to equate a political assassination with a military attack using chemical weapons. The fact remains, however, that the 1992 Chemical Weapons Convention has succeeded in only partly making their use utterly reprehensible; their use is beyond the pale but will not alter the course of history in the manner that we expect will follow a nuclear explosion. Quite simply, there is a fairly strong norm governing the non-use of nuclear weapons; the norm against the use of chemical and biological weapons is still coalescing.

•Despite being banned, chemical weapons have not gone away. They have cropped up frequently in Syria and Iraq, where their recent use has been attributed to the Islamic State. The murder of Kim Jong-nam was the stuff of a spy thriller: two young women approached the estranged half-brother of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and poisoned him with VX, a nerve agent so deadly that a drop on exposed skin is lethal. The execution was breathtaking in its simplicity: the women delivering the VX were apparently duped into believing they were taking part in a reality TV prank.

•This was, however, not out of the pages of a spy thriller, but from the playbook of a regime that appears not to fear the consequences of using an internationally banned chemical substance for a political assassination on foreign soil. Analogous methods might be employed to use other chemical and biological weapons by other players. If a roughly similar attack were carried out against Indians, whether military personnel, politicians or indeed civilians, how would New Delhi define “major”? This is, of course, assuming India could definitely pin the blame on a state. It might be worth recalling that Bashar al-Assad used the nerve agent sarin against civilians in the Damascus suburb of Ghouta in August 2013, killing over 1,400 people. And yet, former President Barack Obama, having famously invoked a ‘red line’ about the movement of chemical weapons in the region in unprepared remarks a year earlier, eventually stepped back from a military response to that attack.

•All the rhetoric issuing from Washington in the year between Mr. Obama’s statement on the red line and the Ghouta attack led observers within and away from Washington to expect punitive military action against Mr. Assad. However, at the very last moment (by some accounts, the day before the expected air strikes), Mr. Obama stopped short of authorising military action. A diplomatic solution was eventually found with the help of Russian President Vladimir Putin; Syria agreed to give up and dismantle a stockpile of 1,300 tonnes of chemical agents and acceded to the Chemical Weapons Convention (though Damascus’ adherence to the Convention has been patchy, to say the least).

•By most standards, the surrendering and destruction of such a massive stockpile would be chalked up in the ‘success’ column of international diplomacy. Yet, Mr. Obama’s handling of Syria’s chemical weapons will remain a question mark, if not a blemish, on his foreign policy record. But had he not drawn that red line and still achieved the same results, the analysis would probably be quite different. For those inclined to criticise him, Mr. Obama had weakened American credibility by appearing to threaten military action and then walking away from it.

•Credibility – that will-o’-the-wisp of international dealings upon which so much is said to rest — can be a straitjacket that limits a government’s options for creative diplomacy in times of crisis. Mr. Obama was able to step back in part because it soon became apparent that the American public had no appetite for military retribution for a chemical attack against foreigners on foreign soil. However, would New Delhi be able to resist popular pressure for decisive retaliation if Indians suffered a chemical or biological attack, especially when India appears to have committed itself to considering a nuclear response to such an attack?

A game changer

•Nuclear weapons deter other nuclear weapons. To require them to do more is to imbue these weapons with even more political meaning than they now carry. This ultimate weapon is already a political force: from the limited number of states who can possess them, to the devastating generational and environmental consequences of their use, nukes are, in the late K. Subrahmanyam’s words, “the million pound note” that is not to be squandered lightly. That is why a policy of No First Use works well: it builds stability into deterrence by credibly promising nuclear retaliation in the face of extreme provocation of a nuclear first strike by one’s adversary. It promises to take both you and your adversary to the abyss and raises the cost of the adversary’s first strike immeasurably. That is all we need these weapons to do militarily.

•At the end of the day, nuclear weapons are not just another weapon in the military toolkit but a game changer. The toolkit approach to deterrence treats them like different drill bits to ensure that one can drill the correct hole in whatever material one is attempting to breach. A nuclear strike, however, with all the attendant effects that go with the uncontrolled splitting of the atom is not the making of a hole but the bringing down of the entire wall. You don’t need different drill bits for this. And you need to be very clear that the action for which this is taken is worth the losing of the entire wall.

💡 Infrastructure clouds connectivity


•Study finds only 14% of regional airports identified for subsidised connectivity are equipped

•Even as the Ministry of Civil Aviation is very close to awarding regional connectivity routes to air service operators, a study by Crisil Research has found that only about 60 out of the more than 414 identified un-served and underserved regional airports have the necessary infrastructure to support flight operations.

•In other words, only 14% of the airports and airstrips listed under the scheme are equipped to handle small aircraft, that is up to ATR 42.

•Besides, the study has indicated that a passenger load factor (PLF) of about 50-60% would be required to break-even at the EBITDA level (or earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) even though the government has offered subsidies to operate flights on regional connectivity scheme (RCS) routes.

•These are some of the major challenges to operator participation in the scheme.

•Though domestic passenger traffic in India has grown 10% a year in the five fiscal years ended 2016, to 85 million annually, it is concentrated in the 6 metro airports, which account for about 65% of the total domestic passenger traffic, leaving the rest to the remaining 73 airports.

•In October 2016, the Government released the final RCS note, just months after a draft was circulated for stakeholder consultation.

•Under this, airfares for a given distance are locked and are subject to a quarterly revision based on CPI inflation. Since these are not high-passenger traffic routes and require deployment of small aircraft that are costlier to operate, the government has decided to encourage the players by providing several incentives, as seen in the table.

•Counter bidding for the scheme ended on February 1 and awarding of routes will be announced shortly. Selected airlines will receive route exclusivity for 3 years from commencing operations.

•But going by the findings of the research study, only up to 60 airports / airstrips including 12 underserved ones are infrastructure-ready. They have the required runway length of up to 1,600 metres that can handle an ATR 42 operation and the terminal buildings.

•“Of these, 25 airports are under the control of Airports Authority of India, 11 under Defence, 11 are private and the rest under the respective state governments,” said Binaifer F. Jehani, director, Crisil Research, who conducted the study.

Select 60

•These 55-60 airports could see an investment of Rs. 50-100 crore per airport for expansion and modernisation to facilitate aircraft operations and passengers, depending on the airlines’ interest, she said.

•In a recent report, the Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA) has said that precious capital for airport development must be directed towards viable projects.

•“Airport development needs to be pursued with viability considerations in mind,” it said. “The greenfield airport at Durgapur in West Bengal, built with 100% private capital, has struggled to attract commercial airline operators. Reliance’s investment in regional airports in Maharashtra, and IL&FS’s interests in Karnataka have similarly not performed,” CAPA had said.

•“The tender process which awards concessions to the bidder offering the highest revenue share needs to be reviewed,” it had added.

•As of January 2017, 19 states had consented to the mplementation of the scheme. Of these 11 — Andhra Pradesh, Assam, Chhattisgarh, Gujarat, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Mizoram, Puducherry, Uttarakhand and West Bengal — have signed memoranda of understanding. “Together, these states have about 8 underserved and 173 unserved airports – but only 23 of these have the requisite infrastructure,” she said.

•Though subsidies are offered to operate on RCS routes, Crisil’s analysis indicates a PLF of 50-60% is required to breakeven at the EBITDA level, assuming the highest possible revenue per RCS seat for a stage length of 500-525 km.

•“The passenger load factor required to break even at EBITDA will increase with aggressive bidding on viability gap funding (VGF) and reduction in fare charged by the airline operators,” Ms Jehani said.

•She said VGF bidding is a very crucial part of the scheme as it would determine the profitability of the airline. RCS routes will be allocated to airlines on the basis of reverse bidding for VGF (ie, the lowest bid wins).

•The amount of VGF provided to the airline is indexed to inflation, ATF price and the dollar-rupee exchange rate.

•As per the scheme, airlines flying RCS routes should allocate 50% of the seat capacity as RCS seats, subject to a minimum of 9 and a maximum of 40 seats. The airfare cap and VGF will be applicable only to these seats. These seats are also not subject to any levies or charges imposed by airport operators, which account for about 10-15% of the ticket price at metro airports.

Subsidies debated

•Given these, the grant of subsidies could encourage players to invest in this project, said the Crisil study .

•“Even China has been subsidising its regional air routes since 2007,” Ms Jehani said. “Between 2006 and 2015, domestic passenger traffic at Chinese airports grew 12% a year (CAGR) from 299 million in 2006 to 829 million in 2015, led by the growth in number of airports from 144 in 2006 to 206 in 2015,” she said.

•The budgeted subsidies for regional aviation in China have risen from about $70 million in 2013 to $148 million in 2016.

•This is similar to India’s planned VGF collections of about Rs. 500-600 crore per annum (assuming the levy is charged on existing fleet mix) of which 20% is funded by the state government and the rest through a levy on flights on non-RCS routes.

•“While the RCS scheme is expected to increase the reach of aviation in India from 79 airports in fiscal 2016, as it happened in China, the quantum of subsidies provided by the Chinese government has been increasing every year. Which means, while the implementation of RCS can improve connectivity in India, a continuous flow of subsidy will be crucial to make it all feasible,” Ms. Jehani said.

•However, subsidies are not welcomed by all.

•“Rather than providing subsidy, the Government should provide incentives which will make the business attractive,” said Rajeev Wadhwa, chairman and CEO of Baron Aviation which aggregates private jets for business and personal use. “The Government should focus on ease of doing business and ease of operations. Subsidy is negative for foreign investors as this may be discontinued as per whims and fancies,” he said.



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