What is the issue?
With new developments likely in international relations for 2021, here is a look at its dimensions and relevance for India.
What are the recent developments in international relations?
- Leadership change in the United States is perhaps the most awaited change.
- But it is unlikely to bring about a major power shift in the international arena.
- Even before the changeover, and despite the promise of a Biden presidency to invigorate the U.S.-Europe axis, Europe has only revived its China links.
- It has concluded in principle the negotiations for an EU-China Comprehensive Agreement on Investment.
- This is an indication that Europe values its economy more than its politics.
- Many countries are likely to seek closer economic relations with China now. This would be a challenging aspect in India’s relations.
- Major changes are afoot in Eurasia and West Asia which could lead to significant shifts.
- Russia is beginning to display greater interest in the affairs of countries on its periphery.
- Together with strengthening ties with China and reaching an entente with Turkey, this seems to signal reduced interest in countries such as India.
- In West Asia, the Abraham Accords, leading to a realignment of forces in the Arab world, have sharpened the division between the Saudi Bloc and Iran-Turkey.
- The situation has not reduced the risk of a confrontation between Iran and Israel. This poses problems for India, since both have relations with it.
- Meanwhile, China demonstrates a willingness to play a much larger role in the region, with plans for a 25-year strategic cooperation agreement with Iran.
- Saudi Arabia could find 2021 challenging, with a Biden Administration taking charge in Washington.
What does a stronger China signify?